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August 14, 2006

Nasrallah declares Victory – by the help of the media and the left and EU……..until the next War: Hamas want Third Intifada…

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Special Dispatch-Palestinian Authority
August 13, 2006
No. 1246

Hamas Columnist: Hizbullah’s Victory in Lebanon Opens the Door for a Third
Intifada

In his August 7, 2006 column in the Hamas semiweekly Al-Risala, under the
title “Victory in Lebanon – Towards a Third Intifada,” Ibrahim Abu Heija’
encourages Hamas to use what he sees as Hizbullah’s victory as a springboard
for a third Palestinian intifada.

The following are excerpts from the article:(1)
“The Greatest Beneficiary [of the Victory in Lebanon] Will Ultimately Be the
Palestinian Resistance”

“What has become evident from the ongoing battles in the proud and resistant
south of Lebanon is the confirmation of Israel’s failure in achieving its
goals, and the confirmation of the decline in its deterrence capability in
comparison with what it was before it got embroiled in the Lebanese
quagmire – despite the bloody slaughters that Israel committed against
unarmed civilians…

“What is noteworthy here is not only the collapse of the Israeli defense
doctrine in the face of a well-organized community possessed of faith and
will, such as Hizbullah, but what is more important in the Israeli loss is
to examine the consequences of the victory and its implications on
additional levels.

“Hizbullah, which achieved the victory, will be the least of those who
benefit from this victory, due to certain considerations relevant to the
Lebanese arena, which is based on sectarian division. This does not mean
that it will not gain greater strength and legitimacy than it had before,
particularly since the Israeli aggression, as is evident, proceeds without
direction and without any reckoning of consequences, and therefore gets
itself entangled in guerilla warfare, in which Hizbullah is unsurpassed in
its skill, and has a Syrian and Iranian backing that denies it nothing in
terms of arms, money, support, and protection.

“It detracts nothing from Hizbullah’s standing that it should benefit from
the honor of victory and that it should be a shield protecting Syria and
Lebanon from breaking apart, and should be a shield for Iran against an
attack on its nuclear reactor.

“However, the greatest beneficiary will ultimately be the Palestinian
resistance – because all of the Arab, regional, and international equations,
whether they are at variance or in agreement, revolve around the Palestinian
cause, either in order to liquidate it or to defend it.”
“This is an Important Moment, That the Palestinian Resistance Must Seize”

“This is an important moment, that the Palestinian resistance must seize. It
benefited from [a similar moment] at the beginning of the Al-Aqsa
[Intifada], when the West Bank and Gaza spoke the Lebanese language, after
they had long been immersed in American and Israeli illusions. And following
[the Al-Aqsa Intifada], the incomplete [Israeli] withdrawal from the Gaza
Strip was carried out.

“And now, after the ceasefire [hudna] has been tried and the experience of
changing the [Palestinian] Authority reached its peak, the door will be
opened for a third Palestinian intifada, that will transform the resistance
from the stage of reaction [to Israeli] actions to [resistance] that is
carried out at our initiative.”
“The Arab Regimes… Showed Solidarity With Israel… and Placed Their Bets
on an Old Horse and a Losing Card”

“The intifada will be honed on [several] sides: 1) victory in southern
Lebanon; 2) the necessity of developing elites and Islamic and [pan-Arab]
nationalist movements, according to their service to the masses. This is
especially true after the Arab regimes have lost the thin patriotic coating
under which they had hidden, and openly showed solidarity with Israel and
manifested their dissatisfaction with the resistance [i.e. Hizbullah] – and
it did not occur to them that they had placed their bets on an old horse and
a losing card.

“This will fling the door wide open for the strong elites and movements to
[make] radical changes in the structures of Arab [society], and the
Palestinian resistance will benefit from this, anyway you look at it.

“On the third side, the spectacle of failure in Lebanon will increase the
bungling of the American administration in Iraq, and will expose its
selective method of reform. This will affect America’s Mediterranean plans,
and will lead it either to recoil and flee, or else will lead it to measures
and solutions which aim to patch together the Palestinian issue through
fragile regional and international coalitions. Neither course will save the
United State’s standing, and will not turn back the clock.
“The Victory in Lebanon Will Weaken Those Palestinian Voices… Calling for
Making Concessions… and Ceasefires”

“The fourth side is this: The victory in Lebanon will weaken those
Palestinian voices that are heard from time to time, sometimes calling for
making concessions, at other times calling for fortuitous ceasefires. Hamas
will be given a significant margin to gain legitimacy for carrying out
[armed] resistance on various fronts where [at present] the Palestinian
Authority objects and the resistance desists.
“The Israeli Defeat in Lebanon Will Force Israel to Move Towards Partial
Withdrawals From the Shab’a Farms, the West Bank, and Perhaps the Golan
Heights”

“The fifth side: The Israeli defeat in Lebanon will force Israel to move
towards partial withdrawals from the Shab’a Farms, the West Bank, and
perhaps the Golan Heights, in order to diminish the effects of its defeat –
but this will in no way deceive the Palestinians, the Syrians, or the
Lebanese. Rather, it will push them all to make yet another move towards
achieving their rights.

“In general, it is important for the Palestinian resistance to exploit the
effects of the victory in Lebanon for its own interests in order to achieve
its rights and move forward towards its objectives, and to encourage the
whole public to unite behind its program.

“The growing aggression in the Gaza Strip against children and women is the
most important incentive for accomplishing the equation of the new
resistance and taking it beyond the merits of the prisoners’ document and
the consideration of being in authority… towards a third intifada.”

Endnote:
(1) Al-Risala (Gaza), August 7, 2006.

*********************
The Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI) is an independent,
non-profit organization that translates and analyzes the media of the Middle
East. Copies of articles and documents cited, as well as background
information, are available on request.

MEMRI holds copyrights on all translations. Materials may only be used with
proper attribution.

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